The Future

The end of any year is a great time to reflect and predict but this year instead of trying to nail short term events to consequences, looking at the longer term is more interesting.

The old forces, the old empire, the republic or the forces of evil are in their final decline to zero influence and the new progress and a new society is upon us.  Finally.

How? Progress is evolution. The human animal has risen beyond hunger and greed, through altruism, charity, organisation, consumption and arrived at a pivot point.  We have to change how we progress to continue to survive.  Climate change was always an extinction event until we understood that it was.  It is an event we thought we could leave until tomorrow but that tomorrow is passing by more quickly than we could predict.  Now we have to think differently to survive at all. We have to find new ways to adapt and find another planet to infect with our waste, our pollution, our greed.  Or we can change our way of living within the nature of the environment we inhabit.

We have found our political structures to be spinning out of the control of reason.  There is little to differentiate political fanatics from religious fanatics.  Insanity is what it is.  Political binary opposition provides us with the friction to stimulate discussion.  We seem to feel that conflict is a necessary component of movement.  We seem to believe that opposition synthesises better thinking.  Of course it is merely a stage of evolving.  It is not an end unto itself.  China with its totalitarian control is able to sustain a very large population, dynamic progress and will soon outdo the USA for economic dominance. Does that mean that the remainder of the world should suffer from poverty as they had a different political belief?

That is the American model being displaced.  Oppositional democratic switching, Left vs Right, every measure of progress requires an equal and opposite force to defeat it or reverse it or we do not feel safe in our construction.

The new world does not require political dominance of one form or another. Self sustaining households can effectively isolate themselves from needing trade to exist.  The Metaverse is simply a virtual space in which we can ‘do business’ (whatever that means).  Our homes can be constructed to be self-sustaining, requiring no external source of energy or hydrocarbons for warmth or light, and excavation under our houses or in our attics can provide environments to grow food for our families.  Why do we need the ‘Outside’?  We do not.  And if there is no need for trade, no need for efficiency and a place to compete and play, to educate and attend to health: we can effectively live anywhere.  On spaceships endlessly traveling to another home.  On another home.  If our internal philosophy of life is self-sustaining we no longer need political leaders, parties or any philosophy that underlies wars or famine.  Or creates unnatural disasters.  We can become at one with nature.  We can be far happier.

American-Qaeda

Another attack on the US Capitol, this time by a single terriorist in a car with a knife attacking police https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/apr/02/us-capitol-lockdown bears remarkable similarities to the pointless but disturbing attack on the UK Houses of Parliament in 2017 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_London_Bridge_attack.

Both were suicide missions, both involved an attack that was aimed at the police and both garner media coverage and reaction. The London attack was inspired and designed by ISIS, the child of Al-Qaeda ruthlessly pursued and eliminated as an evident threat through war, now taking the path of the ‘freedom fighter’ – terrorism. The point is to exact revenge and drive the Government mad. Al-Qaeda was more successful in that goal than ISIS, the Government had learned the golden rule: do not negotiate with terrorists – the Obama principle was to kill 60,000 ISIS militants that had taken half of Iraq, and the Trump administration mopped up what remained of the broken forces (and VP Mike Pence gratuitously took credit for what ‘Obama had failed to do’). ISIS was probably conceived and born after the Bush Doctrine thinking it had defeated Al-Qaeda in fact had driven the children of the cruel and desperate Mujahideen forces under the black banner of ISIS and their indoctrination of the ‘abandonment of cooperation by America in Afghanistan’ following the withdrawal of Soviet troops from that country created a ‘caliphate’ that became a focal threat to the American Government after 9/11.

Fighting the madness that is Q-Anon may lead the US Government down a similar path but this is a more insidious threat. The snake has grown a new set of heads who are affiliates of the Q-Anon cult, the likes of the Proud Boys, and other extreme right-wing groups appear to be the grandchild of Al-Qaeda.

Q-Anon has all the features of an American-Qaeda – the irrationality, racism and extreme violence, the ever present threat, even down to excessive facial hair and beliefs in cosmic stupidity, the worship of a destructive and evidently criminal figurehead (Trump and Osama bin Laden, both billionaires able to raise money and influence Government) in whose name terrorism is inspired to attack the US Government.

The affiliates of Q-Anon should think about this. The founder of the movement is a mystery, shifting in dark shadows and the philosophy tells flagrant lies about their destiny. The founder of Q-Anon is Osama bin Laden. The evil infecting the American Republican Party is the third act of Al-Qaeda.

The only path out of this war is to offer a compelling philosophy of love and peace. The same thing seemed to happen in the 1960s, America buried itself in a hopeless war and the Love Revolution, the Woodstock Generation of baby boomers were given license to take over. Another such moment is in the making, military action may final, but real justice is more permanent. Finally, the exposure of inhumanity and injustice under the Trump era may change the path. Joe Biden at least has experience of dealing with such threats. The US Government is not innocent. But Justice is the path to Freedom for all.

Q-Anon is the grandchild of Al-Qaeda, and it’s defeat requires something far better for the people drawn in and seduced by its irrationality and terrorist conspiracy theories.

Conservative Decay

Trump, Bolsonaro and Johnson are undermining the political philosophy of conservatism. By seeking populism and a constituency of idiocy because ‘public opinion’ that follows the proportionality of a bell-shaped curve can match policy to mad conspiracy theories (philosophy for idiots) and manipulating people to capture votes with false promise, empty rhetoric and self-interest.

Undermining conservatism should be ringing alarm bells in the Republican Party and the UK Conservative party. The characterisation of conservatism with distortions of extreme right-wing rhetoric is a danger to the entire concept of conservative government. The US Presidential election is an example of the consequences. The public may turn against the GOP if it continues to support the corruption and self-aggrandising narcism of Trump.

These petty dictators are pathetic. Stalin and Hitler at least worked for their terribly misguided nationalistic aims while they slaughtered millions deliberately: whereas Trump is more lazy. He plays golf while he presided over the deaths of over 250,000 Americans (a daily rate now over 2,000) and created conditions that have daily infections approaching 200,000 people potentially becoming a drain on the health system. He ran his ridiculous ego-tour of Covid spreading rallies, he made non-mask wearing into a cult. He is the worst leader America has ever experienced. He has constantly attacked his enemies with blatant lies and conspiracy nonsense, supporting racists and Q-Anon.

Boris Johnson is driving the UK over the cliff. His record of mismanagement of the epidemic now has deaths edging over 500 per day. He is pursuing an insane policy of removing the UK from the EU, so far without a trade deal, has already removed the human rights and freedom of movement that citizens of the UK have enjoyed across the EU to limit the access to the UK market of EU citizens. He has passed laws to violate his own agreement that threatens Ireland’s Good Friday Agreement.

Bolsonaro has presided over nearly 170,000 deaths, and 6 million infections and the terrifying destruction of the Amazon Rain Forest, wiping out the habitats of creatures and threatening all life on Earth.

Human leaders. Barack Obama is a very human being, see his interview with Jimmy Kimmel https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qUed6Ug4Cgo. It is a huge relief, a cure for the droning fear of the dying days of the Trump dictatorship.

How Immigration has helped Germany

In 2015 Germany opened its borders to a million refugees. Angela Merkel suffered criticism from the Right who disagreed.

By 2017, there was a prevalent view that Wir schaffen das would be Merkel’s undoing, a “catastrophic mistake” as Donald Trump said in January that year. “The worst decision a European leader has made in modern times,” Nigel Farage told Fox News. “She’s finished.”

That quote from this article, illustrates the criticism of her policy, Wir schaffen das – which means “We will manage” but she has been proven right. A million refugees are now settling and starting companies, not all, but some. There have been no terrorist attacks in three years.

Merkel has advanced the German economy and her approval rating has returned to where it was before it took a hit from reaction to this policy. Germany becomes a beacon of hope for world peace, as settlement of refugees is a large part of bringing peace.

The other side of that coin is the defeat of authoritarian regimes, the most serious one is in Syria. The Government has been at war with a number of factions, including ISIS, not all aligned with ISIS. It has used chemical weapons and that civil war has destroyed many of Syria’s cities. It has produced many refugees and Germany took many.

It is instructive to the nationalistic shutting off that infect the UK and the USA. Rampant nationalism is the cousin of racism.

coronavirus

The Origin of Covid-19

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Photo by CDC on Pexels.com

Here we go, Mike Pompeo asserts that the virus ‘originated’ in the Wuhan laboratory, who deny that they have ever sequenced the virus before the outbreak. America is trying to undo the Chinese Communist Party rule by inviting Taiwan to a WHO body, and China may be ramping up its military muscle over Taiwan.

The USA Government is trying to lay blame on China for mismanagement of the virus outbreak despite the fact that China after initially trying to suppress information, China published full sequencing of the virus and cooperated with the WHO. The USA withholds funds from the WHO.

China (without information from other outbreaks) managed its outbreak and America, with information from China, Korea, and Japan botched its response so badly their death rate is so far 20x China’s and by far the worst in the world.

Deflection propaganda is in full play by this self-centered and destructive administration governing the USA.

Consider the ridiculous argument the White House is asserting: it also means a) the virus is not sourced in nature, and b) it’s spread was intentional. To accuse China of the deliberate massacre of potentially millions requires very solid evidence to be credible. But to say that they crafted the virus requires a level of science and bravado that only the USA has employed in its play for dominance in the world. It is also a bit silly – millions of viruses are sourced in nature and could and do jump species, but only a handful presents a challenge to immunity that evolved over time with us to protect us from infection.

Total Cases of Covid-19 infection, World
Compare USA cases (right) as the rate driving the worldwide infection rate

It will happen again. It is how we craft our political response and empower science and medicine that limits the destruction of a virus our biology does not deal with swiftly. We are not there yet, despite what we learned from the 1918 ‘Spanish Flu’ outbreak. Despite our successful containment and eradication of SARS and MERS. Despite what we could learn from the Covid-19 outbreak.

The plague sweeping over America is predictably going to claim millions of lives if the growth curve of infection continues to rise exponentially. The end of containment has happened. If the infection rates do not subside over summer, growth in the fall is inevitable.

Every country in the world has to cooperate to reduce infection to zero, instead, America has taken the risky course of infecting its most vulnerable (i.e. anyone) and survival of those with natural immunity until the vaccine arrives. The moment they found a drug can help treat the symptoms, the arguments for containment and mitigation were rolled over by the economic argument that is based on a fear of tax increases required to support the isolation measures.

America justifies its lack of management, pats itself on the back for its ‘incredible’ response and the only real hope the world has is in a vaccine that has yet to be found. The response by President Trump, in particular, has been spectacularly wrong and misguided, ineffective and dangerous.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/may/04/five-eyes-network-contradicts-theory-covid-19-leaked-from-lab

cloudy big ben london

Does this Government work?

The UK Government hesitated deliberately before applying the lockdown rules that were being applied already by citizens, businesses and sports organisations. It was as though Boris Johnson did not want to be left behind, because there he was shaking hands of victims to establish his own immunity because in the long run, that gives him an advantage.

cloudy big ben london
Photo by Amar Saleem on Pexels.com

The Government could not solve the problems of funding the NHS which they made worse by vilification of immigrants, especially the backbone of the nursing corps, the European nurses. They could not solve the problem of the care of the aged.

The policy of “herd immunity” to a disease which killed older people disproportionately can only be described as an evil opportunistic measure rather than one based on the previous decisions to limit nurses pay, to limit spending on protective gear and the UK’s cynical approach of only counting deaths in hospitals is a cover-up of this evil. Deaths in care homes for the aged is a statistic that the Government does not take responsibility for, and yet, one that is entirely their fault.

The Government has powers to enact laws and spend budget. The Conservatives have done more to destroy real wealth and preserve the wealth of tax dodging criminals who call themselves ‘business’. This is not simply a divided nation, it is a feudal state, the many who are vulnerable economically and now physically serving the needs of those who own this government. What comes next in the Conservative Secret Agenda? Slavery?

Lockdown is an incomplete policy, it is an effective emergency measure to stop the virus spreading, but without the other side of this equation, contact tracing, it is a death sentence to those pockets where the virus exists. The real problem is the lack of a health system and lockdown has probably exacerbated the vulnerability of individuals. It becomes economic punishment and control, as the Government selectively dishes out taxpayer funds to those who need it, letting many descend into debt precipitously.

The evil of this Government is exposed by its omissions. Gaping holes in Governmental response. The vacuous defensive innocence of the Health Secretary, not a role to be taken lightly but one being performed by an amateur. The entire cabinet comprised of fools and poor thinkers can not frame a successful argument against the pursuit of death that is trademark Dominic Cummings extremism, the Dr Frankenstein who has the PM’s brain in a jar, pickling it, controlling the direction of policy while tearing away at the civil service infrastructure. So protective gear for the ‘front line’ takes far too long, smaller firms who offered their expertise are ignored, even masks are in short supply – there is no real coordination of effective measures – but a ‘war stance’ taken to battle media attention and confuse public opinion rather than actually thinking about what to do: they just accept what they are told and do very little with their extraordinary power over resources. They appear to have taken more time over how to avoid a real death count so the UK is not quite as bad as its European neighbours when their inaction has caused familial devastation and nearly twice the number of deaths than they report.

This is not a government, it is a ship of fools guided in their decisions by a secret agenda and destructive psychotic insanity. It is not just that they are wrong, it is that they are steering the ship into the worst catastrophe that they could find, and then lying about the terrible consequences of their contemptible inadequacy.

white house

American Leadership

America has inappropriate leadership.

white house
Photo by Aaron Kittredge on Pexels.com

Enough has been said and written about the personalities involved. President Trump, Mitch McConnell and the dishonest Senate who could not follow through on removing the impeached Trump. The Democrats who appear to fail to rise to the challenge of opposition and have nominated, again, their most establishment candidate for President due to a fear of ‘socialism’.

Conservatism is only appropriate when there is something worth conserving. Trump’s corrupt form of economics will add more to the National Debt than even Barack Obama did, the difference being that Barack Obama recovered the economy from 2008 and built infrastructure. Trump burned infrastructure including that created to deal with pandemics.

America must reject the politics of populism if it is to thrive in the new world. The Democrats need to realise that only new evolved thinking will save America from itself. And corrupt populism is a cancer that is every bit as destructive as the disease that corrupted the USSR from within.

Mutation incubation

The UK policy of allowing the spread of the Coronavirus Covid-19 to leave behind ‘herd immunity’ sounds cruel and heartless and therefore appeals to the heart of Government. It is the kind of pseudo-intellectual postulated science that Dominic Cummings would approve of, the practise of ‘natural eugenics’ at work, to thin down the population to those who develop natural immunity and therefore leave behind ‘homo superior’ in the quest to conquer the selective fatalness of the virus.

There is one problem with this theory. The larger the spread of the virus, the more genetic material it is exposed to, the more it learns about its hosts. Alongside ‘herd immunity’ is natural evolution at work, the virus is now more able to mutate in its host incubation.

The UK, with its maverick approach, is potentially creating a danger far worse than the current outbreak. The virus would learn more about the Brexit gene and how to wipe out our exposed nationalistic white underbelly. And the world can thank our idiots in Government for another outbreak, the second phase: Covid-20 or Covid-21 which may claim 5% of humanity, affect other parts of the body than the vulnerable and exposed respiratory system. Another virus that claimed millions of lives, HIV, infected the circulatory system, but its nature required fluid exchange. The fatal combination of a retro-virus that infects the blood but that can be transmitted by a cough could wipe out humanity.

The prevalence of chubby mouth-breathers in the human stock of the Brexit generation being the incubation medium of the virus that wipes out humanity is the risk that allowing mass infection of the relatively weak Covid-19 virus to take hold. Isolation is one way to prevent it from mutating but it may already be too late. Our lovely Government with all its stupid ‘theories’ risks incubating a monster.

And referring to people as a ‘herd’ is truly the sign that the PM thinks like a racist. Oh, let’s try that, it sounds radical and insane enough to work. But like most decisions taken by Boris Johnson and his personal Igor, Cummings, it is based on schoolboy error and a profoundly incomplete thinking process.

We have voted in this level of incompetence for 5 years.

Iran

The Iran Revolutionary Guard, the Quds Force, and whatever paramilitary organization that may exist in Iran were all influenced by the assassinated general Soleimani. Some of them directly depended upon his wisdom and strategy which appears to me to be a long game. It would have to be a long game when it is against the largest and most advanced army in the world that is usually more sensitive to public opinion. The Trump effect has essentially stopped the USA from progressing and instead they are arming themselves to the teeth. Trump’s threats are to react with extreme military force, and god help us all if that starts to happen. Because it would make the very out of control government of Iran react.

Iran evidently does not have the command infrastructure in place to prevent their military from accidentally shooting down a plane that had just taken off from Tehran Airport. Or someone panicked and did something stupid after the voice of reason had been silenced. Could it happen again?

Of course, that it could be repeated due to systemic failure of the people who make good decisions now missing and the holes in the knowledge of one of his staff taking on his job before he understood the lines of control of his army.

The narrative that it was one person firing a weapon based on the misunderstandable narrative that the USA going from war footings in the middle east, sending in large numbers of troops to pose as a war leader, they can achieve the same thing by having something done to them to justify breaking every international convention and the dignity of all nations.

And so, Trump intervened and has changed the dynamic of the somewhat covert war with Iran by firing one shot at an organized player on the complex battlefield, to remove their naturally evolved brain of battle with all its programming, religious, social, nationalist and to less degree than previously, racist.

The USA at least places the appearance of racial equality as an absolute necessity even if, as a result of the players in their political arena, there are real and perhaps unintended consequences.

One trouble with Trump is that we believe the racist narrative as fact, we accept that much, so what else does that mean we are accepting due to the inevitable reality of political manipulation of the levers of control as long as we can be seen to be manipulated to have a common opinion we accept the gravity of the result, even if it be false. Even if, as some suppose, that the Tories won that election through some measure of electoral fraud, we would not then sack them as a Government, even in five years, we may not remember it.

It is wise to predict the actions of this Conservative administration, with a long view that can now include the splitting of the Union as a perceived chain around the neck of wealth.

Wealth is their thing, it is not growth. Growth does not just make the very very wealthy even more wealthy. Any growth experienced by Amazon is balanced by contraction of the many thousands of businesses that consequently make less. The budget can only be balanced if Amazon pays a fair tax. Or competes on a level playing field, which would mean no business tax.

Corporate giants erase competition. The High Street is becoming unnecessary. Will it become extinct? Can it survive automatic-delivery and 3D immersion commerce? 3D immersion may only be a perception illusion, but it is strong enough to engage our minds.

What is the essence of reality that we need to gain experience? It is the whole thing, not just the social context, not just the hassle, the sacrifice of self-time and comfort, the having to work.

Real experience is to overcome difficulties. That is what makes us smile. Winning little battles is important. It puts us in control.

Iran has lost its mind. It is now acting like an out of control state enraged with its mistake rather than mourning the passing of one of its real heroes.

By Trump’s own logic, he deserves to be punished for the illegal assassination of a government official, risking a state of war when it would be dangerously inappropriate to the American people.

Or he has murdered an adversary. Which one is worse?

Should the American citizens competing for the right to run against him fear that he may extend his illegal meddling and manipulation of the international relationship between adversarial governments to more excesses than leveraging doubt against the leading contender? Where does the line get drawn for Presidental Privilege?

The trouble with Trump is that he is causing damage to the US and the people who are supporting him often seem to be devoted rather than rational. Perhaps it will suddenly ring home that they did not realize that this reign of King Donald is actually a con, a sham? Did they not look into his literally golden life and realize he is not a Republican? Or a Democrat. He is a perversion of both playing to the advance of his own avarice.

Iran may have backed down because they found out that they do not really have the ability to control their own army during a war. It was a Ukraine flight, but it could have been any flight. Unless it was deliberate.

It is not that Trump knows what he is doing. He is enabling conflict on the world stage. He wants to win an election through ridiculously illegal means. He should be stopped or democracy itself will die and following the successive failures of his daughter, his two sons and his other son and the nation will die along with the Trump dynasty.